[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 23 16:36:21 CDT 2005


WTUS82 KJAX 232135
HLSJAX
FLZ024-025-033-038-240400-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
535 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...
AND FLAGLER COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR MOST OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...
ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FROM NASSAU COUNTY SOUTHWARD TO
FLAGLER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR COASTAL AND
PORTIONS OF INTERIOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS NEAR LATITUDE 23.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THIS MAKES WILMA A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

WILMA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST
EARLY MONDAY...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHILE THE MAIN EFFECTS FROM WILMA ARE EXPECTED TO BE FARTHER SOUTH...
ANY NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE PROJECTED COURSE OF WILMA COULD RESULT IN
WARNINGS BEING REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
THE COMBINATION OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS STATES AND THE LARGE
WIND FIELD AROUND WILMA WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER
THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AND NEAR THE ADJACENT COASTAL
COUNTIES FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ON MONDAY OVER THE
GEORGIA WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH AND
BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES. MARINERS AND COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH
AREA SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS...INCREASING TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT
AND MONDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY AND THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF BEACH EROSION AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON MONDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE LATE
MONDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LIKELY OVER
THE FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS GEORGIA WATERS BEYOND 20
NAUTICAL MILES. SURF WILL ALSO RAPIDLY INCREASE TONIGHT WITH COMBINED
SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET EXPECTED MONDAY. LOCAL INLETS WILL BEGIN TO
EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT...AND INLAND ESTUARIES WILL LIKELY SEE A RISE IN WATER LEVELS
AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE COMBINATION OF A STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA
AND THE APPROACH OF WILMA WILL INCREASE THE RAINFALL POTENTIAL FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING ARE HIGHLY POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE
WITH AMOUNTS UP TO 1 TO 3 INCHES FARTHER NORTH.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER FLORIDA COASTAL COUNTIES
EARLY MONDAY AS WILMA CROSSES OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
MONDAY WILL BE QUITE WINDY ACROSS THE AREA WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS
BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH AND GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST. COASTAL RESIDENTS MAY WANT TO MAKE PLANS TO SECURE
VULNERABLE OBJECTS.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS VERY LOW CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO AT THIS TIME.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 1130 PM EDT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE.

$$

LETRO

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