[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 231536
HLSJAX
FLZ024-025-033-038-232200-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1136 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...
AND FLAGLER COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR MOST OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...
ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FROM NASSAU COUNTY SOUTHWARD TO
FLAGLER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR COASTAL AND PORTIONS OF INTERIOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS NEAR LATITUDE 22.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
NEAR 8 MPH...AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THIS MAKES WILMA A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WILMA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST
EARLY MONDAY AS A LARGE HURRICANE...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE LARGE WIND
FIELD AROUND WILMA WILL POSSIBLY BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OVER THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL
COUNTIES FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH ON MONDAY. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ON MONDAY OVER THE GEORGIA WATERS
FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH AND BEYOND 20
NAUTICAL MILES. MARINERS AND COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA
SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS. IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS...INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE
WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WATCH AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT WILL LIKELY NEED TO REMAIN IN PORT BY LATE SUNDAY UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE LATE MONDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS HIGHLY POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS
AS WELL AS GEORGIA WATERS BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES. SURF WILL
ALSO RAPIDLY INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 10 TO 15
FEET EXPECTED MONDAY. LOCAL INLETS WILL BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BREAKERS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...AND
INLAND ESTUARIES WILL ALSO LIKELY SEE A RISE IN WATER LEVELS AND
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE COMBINATION OF A STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA
AND THE APPROACH OF WILMA WILL INCREASE THE RAINFALL POTENTIAL FOR
NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE HIGHLY POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME...STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER FLORIDA COASTAL COUNTIES
EARLY MONDAY AS WILMA CROSSES OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
HOW STRONG WINDS WILL BECOME WILL DEPEND ON THE ULTIMATE TRACK...BUT
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...SUSTAINED SPEEDS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH NEAR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST ARE POSSIBLE.
COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILMA
AND MAY WISH TO MAKE PLANS TO SECURE VULNERABLE OBJECTS.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS VERY LOW CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO AT THIS TIME.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 530 PM EDT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE.

$$

LETRO

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