[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 231200
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-231530-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA IS BACK OVER WATER...NOW IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH FLORIDA
PENINSULA TODAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 435 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA AND 390 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. WILMA
WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH...AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NO WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED EARLY TODAY.  WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM OR JUST ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT...SPREADING TOWARD THE COASTLINE MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO A GUSTY NORTHERLY BREEZE
MONDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

...SURGE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS SOUTH
OF TAMPA BAY EARLY THIS MORNING.  TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY
GREATLY BY LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
TRACK OF THE CENTER OF WILMA. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST
THREAT OF STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY.  LEE AND PERHAPS
CHARLOTTE COUNTY WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE OVERWASH AND SOME TIDAL
FLOODING EARLY MONDAY AS WILMA APPROACHES. NORTH OF CHARLOTTE
COUNTY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AN OUTGOING TIDE WHICH MAY
EXPOSE SANDBARS AND OTHER FEATURES ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLETS...BAYS...
AND HARBORS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
TODAY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM FEEDER BANDS WILL PRODUCE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND PERHAPS MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.
ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MORE EXTENSIVE...AND LOCALLY HEAVY...
RAINFALL MAINLY FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTHWARD MAY PRODUCE A BIT MORE MINOR
FLOODING. EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY 5 INCHES OR HIGHER...MAINLY SOUTH OF A TAMPA BAY TO POLK
COUNTY LINE. RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ELSEWHERE.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA ACROSS THE REGION.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST
WHICH WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 60 KNOTS...
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS.  THE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...64 KNOTS...IS GREATEST SOUTH OF TAMPA
BAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS NOT EXPECTED FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. FOR
TONIGHT AND MONDAY A LOW THREAT SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY IS EXPECTED. NORTH
WINDS BRINGING IN MUCH COOLER AIR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STABLE
CONDITIONS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
WILL BE CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM WHERE TROPICAL AIR IS MOST
ABUNDANT.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 11 AM
TODAY.

$$

RD
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