[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 230822
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM ALPHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ALPHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED OCT 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.3N  73.5W      56  5  X  X 61   MDPP 198N 707W    74  X  X  X 74
28.0N  73.5W       X 38  X  X 38   MBJT 215N 712W    41  X  X  X 41
MDSD 185N 697W    99  X  X  X 99   MYMM 224N 730W    64  1  X  X 65
MDCB 176N 714W    99  X  X  X 99   MYSM 241N 745W    38 15  X  X 53
MTPP 186N 724W    80  X  X  X 80   MYEG 235N 758W    14 11  X  X 25
MTCA 183N 738W     8  X  X  X  8   MYNN 251N 775W     X  3  X  X  3
MUGM 200N 751W     8  X  X  X  8

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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