[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 230316
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-230630-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...WITH HURRICANE WILMA NOW HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS
ALL WATCHES FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ARE UPGRADED TO
WARNINGS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA...513 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA AND
465 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. WILMA WAS DRIFTING NORTH AT 3
MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A FASTER SPEED IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NO WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.  WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM OR JUST ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT...SPREADING TOWARD THE COASTLINE MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO A GUSTY NORTHERLY BREEZE
MONDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

...SURGE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS SOUTH
OF TAMPA BAY THIS AFTERNOON.  TIDE LEVELS WILL FURTHER INCREASE
LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND RUN 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN THESE
AREAS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY GREATLY BY
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE
CENTER OF WILMA.  BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST THREAT OF
STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY.  LEE AND PERHAPS CHARLOTTE COUNTY
WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE OVERWASH AND TIDAL FLOODING EARLY MONDAY AS
WILMA APPROACHES. NORTH OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
CREATE AN OUTGOING TIDE WHICH MAY EXPOSE SANDBARS AND OTHER FEATURES
ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLETS...BAYS...AND HARBORS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
ON SUNDAY... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM FEEDER BANDS WILL PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND PERHAPS MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AREAS. ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MORE EXTENSIVE...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY...RAINFALL MAINLY FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTHWARD MAY PRODUCE A BIT
MORE MINOR FLOODING. EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES OR HIGHER..MAINLY SOUTH OF A TAMPA BAY
TO POLK COUNTY LINE. RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES
ELSEWHERE.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA ACROSS THE REGION.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST
WHICH WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 60 KNOTS...SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS.  THE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...64 KNOTS...IS GREATEST SOUTH OF TAMPA
BAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS NOT EXPECTED FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY A LOW THREAT SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY IS EXPECTED.
NORTH WINDS BRINGING IN MUCH COOLER AIR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STABLE
CONDITIONS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
WILL BE CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM WHERE TROPICAL AIR IS MOST
ABUNDANT.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT  FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE
ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 2
AM TONIGHT.

$$

REYNES

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net