[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 221513
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.2N  71.4W      50  X  X  X 50   MBJT 215N 712W     2 24  7  X 33
20.6N  72.8W       4 36  2  X 42   MYMM 224N 730W     X 25 15  X 40
24.9N  72.3W       X  1 32  3 36   MYSM 241N 745W     X  3 29  X 32
MDSD 185N 697W    48  X  X  X 48   MYEG 235N 758W     X  2 18  1 21
MDCB 176N 714W    49  X  X  X 49   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  3  X  3
MTPP 186N 724W    37  6  X  X 43   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  3  1  4
MTCA 183N 738W    10 17  X  X 27   BERMUDA            X  X  X 21 21
MUGM 200N 751W     X 19  4  X 23   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W    29  7  X  X 36   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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