[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 220235
SPFAT4
HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT MON OCT 24 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.7N  87.2W      99  X  X  X 99   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  9  9
22.3N  86.9W      31  1  X  1 33   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  6  6
23.5N  85.4W       3 10  8  1 22   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  4  5   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  4  4   KEY WEST FL        X  X  4 11 15
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  8  9   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2 13 15
MUSN 216N 826W     X  2  6  5 13   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1 14 15
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  7  7 15   VENICE FL          X  X  2 14 16
MUAN 219N 850W    14  3  3  1 21   TAMPA FL           X  X  1 13 14
MMCZ 205N 869W    99  X  X  X 99   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X 13 13
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 10 10
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1 10 11
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  7  7   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  9 10
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  8  8   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  7  7
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X 11 11   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  5  5
MMMD 210N 897W     9  3  1  X 13   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL        X  X  2 12 14   BURAS LA           X  X  1  4  5
MIAMI FL           X  X  X 13 13   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  3  3
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X 13 13   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1 11 12
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 13 13   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  2  8 10
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X 13 13   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  4  5  9
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X 12 12   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  3  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
C FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
D FROM  7PM SUN TO  7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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