[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 211442
SPFAT4
HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT MON OCT 24 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.3N  87.4W      52  X  X  X 52   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  4  4
21.8N  87.4W      37  X  X  X 37   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
22.3N  86.9W      25  1  1  1 28   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  9 10
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  4  5   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  9  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  9  9
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  7  7   VENICE FL          X  X  X  9  9
MUSN 216N 826W     X  2  3  6 11   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  8  8
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  3  8 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  6  6
MUAN 219N 850W    16  3  1  2 22   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W    99  X  X  X 99   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  6  6
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  1  2  3  6   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  5  5
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  4  4
MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  1  3  4   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3   BURAS LA           X  X  X  5  5
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  4  4   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  3  3
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  2  2   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
MMMD 210N 897W    15  3  1  1 20   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  7  7
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  8  9   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  6  7
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  2  6  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  4  5
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
C FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
D FROM  7AM SUN TO  7AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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