[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 191439
SPFAT4
HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.1N  85.1W      41  X  X  1 42   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
20.4N  85.9W      13 13  1  1 28   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2
21.5N  86.2W       1 18  3  1 23   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  8  9
MWCG 193N 814W     2  2  1  4  9   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  7  7
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  2  6  8   VENICE FL          X  X  X  6  6
MUSN 216N 826W     1  5  4  4 14   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  5  5
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  4  7 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X 14  4  3 21   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     4 20  1  1 26   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  4  4
MZBZ 175N 883W     4  3  1  1  9   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  3  3
MHNJ 165N 859W     8  X  1  1 10   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  2  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
MMMD 210N 897W     X  7  6  2 15   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  5  5
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  6  6
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  5  5
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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