[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 190835
SPFAT4
HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.5N  84.7W      43  X  X  X 43   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
20.0N  85.5W       9 18  1  X 28   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
21.0N  85.7W       X 20  2  2 24   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  7  8
MWCG 193N 814W     8  2  1  2 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  2  5  7   VENICE FL          X  X  X  4  4
MUSN 216N 826W     X  6  5  4 15   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  4  7 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X 11  6  3 20   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 20  2  2 24   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     3  5  1  2 11   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1  2  3   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
MHNJ 165N 859W    12  X  1  1 14   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MMMD 210N 897W     X  3  7  5 15   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  4  4
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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