[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 17 21:47:04 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 180245
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU OCT 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.6N  81.7W      50  X  X  X 50   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  2  5  7
17.3N  82.8W      30  3  X  1 34   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2
18.2N  83.7W       7 20  1  1 29   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  6  5  3 14
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  2  2   MNPC 141N 834W     4  4  1  2 11
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1  3  4   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  1  1  2
MWCG 193N 814W    10  9  1  2 22   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  9  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  2  6  9   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  6  6
MUSN 216N 826W     X  4  8  6 18   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  4  9 13   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1 11  8 20   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  9  9 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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