[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 171436
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU OCT 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.3N  81.5W      53  X  X  X 53   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  8  9 17
16.5N  82.6W      32  1  X  1 34   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  4  9 13
17.0N  83.7W      12 13  2  1 28   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1  6  7
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  2  2   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  5  9  4 18
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1  4  5   MNPC 141N 834W     3  7  2  2 14
MWCG 193N 814W    10  4  3  2 19   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  1  1  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   SKSP 126N 817W     X  2  1  1  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  4  5   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  4  7 12   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X 11 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  5  6   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  5  9 14

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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