[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 170829
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU OCT 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.2N  81.1W      49  X  X  X 49   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  7  9 16
17.4N  82.0W      32  X  1  X 33   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  6 11 17
17.8N  83.3W      10 11  3  1 25   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  2  9 11
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  1  2  3   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJS 185N 779W     X  2  2  4  8   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  2  7  6 15
MWCG 193N 814W    21  2  2  1 26   MNPC 141N 834W     X  2  3  2  7
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  3  4   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  2  3  4  9   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X 10 10
MUSN 216N 826W     X  5  6  5 16   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  3  6  9   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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