[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 170240
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.8N  80.9W      65  X  X  X 65   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  7 10 17
18.0N  81.9W      41  X  X  1 42   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  1  8  9
18.3N  83.0W      18 13  X  1 32   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W     2  X  X  2  4   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  1  6  7 14
MWCG 193N 814W    35  X  X  X 35   MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  2  3  6
MUCF 221N 805W     X  3  2  4  9   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  8  8
MUSN 216N 826W     1  8  5  4 18   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  4  6 11   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  9  8 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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