[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 162040
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.9N  80.4W      99  X  X  X 99   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  2 10 12
18.1N  81.0W      54  X  X  X 54   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  5  5
18.4N  81.8W      32  1  1  X 34   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  1  2  3   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  3  7 10
MKJS 185N 779W    10  1  1  1 13   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  1  3  4
MWCG 193N 814W    30  1  1  X 32   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  1  1  4  6   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUCF 221N 805W     X  4  4  5 13   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  6  6  6 18   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  4  9 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  5 10 15   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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