[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 161436
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.2N  80.0W      99  X  X  X 99   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  2 11 13
17.3N  80.5W      61  X  X  X 61   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  9 10
17.7N  81.2W      36  1  X  1 38   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJP 179N 768W     X  1  2  4  7   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  2  7  9
MKJS 185N 779W     8  2  2  3 15   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  2  4  6
MWCG 193N 814W    15  7  2  2 26   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  6  7   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  3  8 12   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  7  8 16   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  2  8 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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