[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 16 03:45:11 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 160844
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.9N  80.1W      99  X  X  X 99   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  2 10 12
17.0N  80.5W      56  X  X  X 56   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1 10 11
17.3N  81.2W      32  1  X  1 34   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2  2  5  9   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     4  4  4  3 15   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  2  8 10
MWCG 193N 814W    12  6  4  2 24   MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  2  4  7
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  5  6   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  1  2  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  2  7 10   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  5  9 15   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  7  8   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net




More information about the Tropical mailing list