[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 160244
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.6N  80.0W      99  X  X  X 99   MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  3  8 12
16.6N  80.4W      42  X  X  X 42   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  5  6
16.8N  80.8W      34  1  X  X 35   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1  7  8
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  3  3   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  7  7
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2  4  6 12   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W     5  4  4  4 17   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     9  6  4  4 23   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  2  8 10
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  4  4   MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  3  5  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2  7  9   SKSP 126N 817W     X  1  1  2  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  2  7 10   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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