[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 152043
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTYFOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.5N  80.0W      58  X  X  X 58   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  2  7  9
17.5N  80.5W      43  X  X  X 43   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  2  9 11
17.5N  81.0W      29  1  1  1 32   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  8  9
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2  3  6 11   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W    57  X  X  X 57   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  2  7  9
MWCG 193N 814W    14  6  2  3 25   MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  1  5  7
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  3  3   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     1  2  2  4  9   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  3  4  5 12   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  2  6  7 15   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net