[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 150925
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED NEAR JAMAICA IS PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM HAITI AND SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS JAMAICA.  WHILE THIS SYSTEM IS
GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT IT HAS NOT YET BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.  CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY.  THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...AND INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...CUBA...THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR ITS PROGRESS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA...
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND HAITI.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS TENTATIVELY SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING
THE NIGHT... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR.

INFORMATION ON A LARGE AND COMPLEX NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC BETWEEN BERMUDA AND NOVA SCOTIA CAN
BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NOAA OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER AND THE TPC TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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