[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 150229
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR JAMAICA HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER
DEFINED. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS ALSO INCREASED AND
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER
TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST
OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... AND INTERESTS IN JAMAICA... CUBA... AND
THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA... EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA... AND HAITI. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS TENTATIVELY SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY... IF NECESSARY.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE... ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM... IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE
TODAY... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR.

INFORMATION ON A LARGE AND COMPLEX NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC AND NEAR BERMUDA CAB BE FOUND IN
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NOAA OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER AND
THE TPC TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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