[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 132106
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTERACTING WITH AN ELONGATED SURFACE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING A LARGE BAND OF CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS FROM BERMUDA SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO
NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.  SEVERAL SMALL LOW PRESSURE
CENTERS ARE MOVING NORTHWARD WITHIN THIS BAND OF CLOUDINESS.
HOWEVER... THERE ARE NO SIGNS THAT ANY OF THOSE CIRCULATIONS IS
DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS LARGE WEATHER SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NOAA OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER AND THE
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH.

A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF JAMAICA HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. WHILE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. HOWEVER... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS MAY
BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS
SLOWLY WESTWARD.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE... ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM... IS LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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