[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 082037
SPFAT2
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.1N  65.5W      57  X  X  X 57   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  7  8
31.9N  67.9W       9 25  X  1 35   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  8  9
33.0N  69.8W       X 18  4  1 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  2  8 10
BERMUDA           37  1  X  X 38   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  6  6   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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