[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 081435
SPFAT2
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.4N  63.4W      34  X  X  X 34   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  7  7
31.2N  66.4W       4 21  1  X 26   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  9  9
32.3N  68.3W       X 15  5  2 22   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  9 10
BERMUDA            3 16  1  1 21   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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