[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 071518
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA IS WEAKENING...AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  ALTHOUGH
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS UNLIKELY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND
WESTERN CUBA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ANOTHER BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SOUTH OF THE COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATION INDICATE THIS SYSTEM IS
MERGING WITH A COLD FRONT...AND DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
AREA CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

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