[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 6 21:10:18 CDT 2005


ABNT20 KNHC 070209
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DATA FROM CUBA INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS BEEN
DRIFTING EASTWARD AND IS NOW CENTERED JUST WEST OF HAVANA. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. HOWEVER...IT WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. HEAVY RAINS AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE
FLORIDA KEYS...AND SPREAD OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A LITTLE BIT MORE THAN 900 MILES EAST
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS LIMITED AND IPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORBALE FOR
DEVELOPMENT.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND A WEAK
LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY WERE ABSORBED BY A LARGE
NON-TROPICAL LOW OBER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OR MEXICO.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$
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