[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 6 16:29:49 CDT 2005


ABNT20 KNHC 062128
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE TROPICS ARE ACTIVE TODAY BUT NONE OF THE SYSTEMS POSE AN
IMMEDIATE THREAT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

SATELLITE AND SURFACES OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SMALL AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA. THIS SYSTEM
HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. HOWEVER...IT WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. DATA FROM THE CUBAN
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE INDICATE THAT UP TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
BEEN MEASURED IN PORTIONS OF CUBA TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE
FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A LITTLE BIT MORE THAN 1000 MILES EAST
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS LIMITED AT THIS TIME BUT SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND A WEAK
LOW PRESSURE AREA HAVE INCREASED OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST
ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY CENTERED
ABOUT 75 MILES WEST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA....UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$
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