[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 6 09:26:49 CDT 2005


WTNT41 KNHC 061426
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005

SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE COAST HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE...AND THE COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.  ANY REMAINING
GALE FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE LITTLE OR NO CONNECTION TO TAMMY'S
CIRCULATION...AND TAMMY IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING
ELONGATED ALONG A WSW-ENE AXIS...AND DISSIPATION IS ANTICIPATED
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AT A
SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED UNTIL THAT OCCURS.  A PORTION OF
THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY COULD TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AND ENTER
THE GULF OF MEXICO...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
UNFAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION.

FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TAMMY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      06/1500Z 31.7N  85.5W    30 KT
 12HR VT     07/0000Z 31.5N  87.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     07/1200Z...DISSIPATED


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