[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 5 09:34:46 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 051434
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT OCT  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.4N  82.6W      42  1  X  X 43   TAMPA FL           X  2  X  X  2
32.3N  83.8W      24  3  X  X 27   CEDAR KEY FL       8  3  X  X 11
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   ST MARKS FL       18  2  X  X 20
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   APALACHICOLA FL    5  5  X  X 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     4  6  X  X 10
JACKSONVILLE FL   68  X  X  X 68   PENSACOLA FL       1  4  X  X  5
SAVANNAH GA       21  1  X  X 22   MOBILE AL          X  2  X  X  2
CHARLESTON SC      3  2  X  X  5   GULF 29N 85W       1  3  X  X  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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