[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 042040
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 04 2005

STAN CONTINUES TO PUSH FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKEN.  THE INITIAL
MOTION IS 230/5...AND THIS GENERAL TRACK IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
UNTIL THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DISSIPATES OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN RANGE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.  THE MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF STAN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WHERE SOME REGENERATION IS
POSSIBLE.

THE MAIN THREAT FROM STAN CONTINUES TO BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES LIKELY.


FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      04/2100Z 17.8N  95.6W    45 KT
 12HR VT     05/0600Z 17.3N  96.0W    30 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     05/1800Z...DISSIPATED


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