[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 040931
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED HURRICANE STAN... LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO ABOUT 120 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A LARGE AND COMPLEX SYSTEM OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM
THE BAHAMAS EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE WEST-CENTRAL
BAHAMAS.  SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED OVER
THE BAHAMAS THIS MORNING BUT THIS ACTIVITY IS STILL LOCATED EAST OF
THE AREA OF LOWEST PRESSURE.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.
AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND REACH THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

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