[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 031528
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON OCT 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM STAN... LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT
265 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AND
COMPLEX SYSTEM OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM HISPANIOLA
NORTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.  SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE
REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE TROUGH HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED
THIS MORNING A SHORT DISTANCE EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  UPPER-
LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND
A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.   AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND REACH THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA BY LATE TOMORROW OR WEDNESDAY.

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

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