[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 031431
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON OCT 03 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT THU OCT  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.0N  94.7W      52  1  X  X 53   MMVR 192N 961W    23  2  1  1 27
19.8N  95.5W      35  1  X  X 36   MMFR 185N 926W     4  1  2  4 11
19.5N  96.2W      23  2  1  1 27   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  3  3
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  3  7 10   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  4  4
MMTM 222N 979W     X  5  6  5 16   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     2 12  4  3 21   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  5  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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