[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 030901
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON OCT 03 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT THU OCT  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.4N  94.2W      48  X  X  X 48   MMFR 185N 926W     4  1  2  3 10
20.2N  95.2W      31  1  X  X 32   MMMD 210N 897W     7  X  1  X  8
20.0N  96.3W      15  8  1  1 25   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  5  7 12   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  5  5
MMTM 222N 979W     X  6  7  5 18   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     1 14  4  3 22   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  2  6  8
MMVR 192N 961W    16  5  1  2 24

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
C FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
D FROM  1AM WED TO  1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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