[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 030241
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT WED OCT  5 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.0N  93.3W      45  X  X  X 45   MMFR 185N 926W     5  1  3  3 12
20.7N  94.7W      27  2  1  X 30   MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99
20.4N  95.8W      12 11  1  2 26   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMSO 238N 982W     X  1  5  7 13   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1  5  6
MMTM 222N 979W     X  6  8  4 18   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     X 14  4  3 21   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
MMVR 192N 961W     5 10  3  2 20   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  3  6  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
C FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
D FROM  7PM TUE TO  7PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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