[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 021432
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT WED OCT  5 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.8N  91.4W      43  X  X  X 43   MMFR 185N 926W     8  4  X  2 14
21.0N  93.5W      16 14  1  X 31   MMMD 210N 897W    55  X  X  X 55
20.7N  95.2W       1 20  2  1 24   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W    74  X  X  X 74   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  6  6
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  5  7 12   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTM 222N 979W     X  2 11  4 17   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
MMTX 210N 974W     X  6 10  4 20   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  3  6  9
MMVR 192N 961W     X  6  7  4 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
C FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
D FROM  7AM TUE TO  7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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