[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 020843
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 02 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  34.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED OCT  5 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.9N  36.0W      40  X  X  X 40   22.3N  36.6W       2 12  3  2 19
20.5N  36.4W      20  4  1  X 25

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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