[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 141440
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU NOV 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.1N  66.6W      52  X  X  X 52   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 12 12
15.4N  68.4W      20 14  X  X 34   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  9  9
15.4N  70.4W       X 20  7  1 28   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  2  2
SKPG 125N 717W     X  1  8  5 14   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  9  9
TNCC 122N 690W     X  8  4  1 13   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  4  4
80400 157N 636W   53  X  X  X 53   TJSJ 184N 661W     5  4  X  1 10
TISX 177N 648W     5  2  X  1  8   MDPP 198N 707W     X  1  5  4 10
TIST 183N 650W     2  2  X  X  4   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
TJPS 180N 666W    11  5  X  X 16   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2
MDSD 185N 697W     X  9  6  2 17   ST CROIX VI        5  2  X  1  8
MDCB 176N 714W     X  5 13  3 21   ST THOMAS VI       2  2  X  X  4
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1  8  7 16   SAN JUAN PR        5  4  X  1 10
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  5 11 16   PONCE PR          11  5  X  X 16

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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