[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 140836
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU NOV 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.1N  66.2W      52  X  X  X 52   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 11 11
15.9N  67.8W      24 10  1  X 35   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  7  7
16.0N  69.7W       1 19  6  1 27   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X 11 11
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  4  7 11   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3
TNCC 122N 690W     X  3  4  2  9   TJSJ 184N 661W     6  7  1  1 15
80400 157N 636W   50  X  X  X 50   MDPP 198N 707W     X  1  9  5 15
TISX 177N 648W     8  3  1  X 12   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  2  6  8
TIST 183N 650W     3  4  1  X  8   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  5  5
TJPS 180N 666W    11  9  X  1 21   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
MDSD 185N 697W     X 11  8  2 21   ST CROIX VI        8  3  1  X 12
MDCB 176N 714W     X  3 15  4 22   ST THOMAS VI       3  4  1  X  8
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X 10  8 18   SAN JUAN PR        6  7  1  1 15
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  4 13 17   PONCE PR          11  9  X  1 21

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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