[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 112020
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

36.0N  87.5W      37  X  X  X 37   MOBILE AL         99  X  X  X 99
PANAMA CITY FL    11  X  X  X 11   GULF 29N 87W      31  X  X  X 31
PENSACOLA FL      99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
C FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
D FROM  1PM MON TO  1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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