[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 110920
HLSTAE

GMZ750-755-770-775-FLZ008-012-014-015-018-027-028-111230-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
513 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FROM DESTIN TO STEINHATCHEE
FLORIDA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY...GULF...
FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...AND TAYLOR COUNTIES.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM DESTIN
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND COASTAL COUNTIES EASTWARD TO
STEINHATCHEE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE ABOVE COASTAL
COUNTIES...AS WELL AS LIBERTY...CALHOUN...JACKSON...WASHINGTON...
HOLMES...AND INLAND WALTON COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA BECAUSE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...4 AM CDT...TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS CENTERED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 DEGREES NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 DEGREES WEST. THIS IS
ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE ALABAMA. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS 991 MB...OR 29.26 INCHES. ARLENE WAS MOVING NORTHWEST
NEAR 18 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ALONG WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE
LANDFALL AND ARLENE COULD REACH CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER
TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
ALONG THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40
TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH COULD IMPACT THE PANHANDLE
COAST...FROM ST. GEORGE ISLAND WESTWARD THIS MORNING...WITH WINDS OF
30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH OVER INLAND AREAS. THESE WINDS
COULD BE HIGHER AND EXTEND FURTHER EASTWARD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS
OF THE BIG BEND SHOULD ARLENE MOVE SLIGHTLY FURTHER EAST THAN THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND GUSTS HAVE
ALREADY REACHED THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE...AND THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHWARD DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SOME AREA WINDS AS OF 5 AM EDT ARE AS FOLLOWS.

TALLAHASSEE...EAST AT 17 MPH.

PANAMA CITY...EAST AT 20 GUSTING TO 29 MPH.

APALACHICOLA...EAST AT 18 GUSTING TO 32 MPH.

KEATON BEACH..EAST AT 22 MPH.

CEDAR KEY...EAST AT 28 MPH.

C TOWER 100 FT ABOVE MSL...43 MPH GUSTING TO 47 MPH.

APALACHICOLA BUOY...33 MPH GUSTING TO 42 MPH.

PANAMA CITY BUOY...38 MPH GUSTING TO 47 MPH.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF ARLENE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TO
OVER THE WESTERN PANHANDLE...A LARGE SWATH OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
LIKELY TO THE EAST...ACROSS ALL OF THE PANHANDLE...MUCH OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS AS WELL AS AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
IF THE STORM FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK...THE STORM SURGE WILL BE
ABOUT 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG THE SOUTH WALTON BEACHES...AND 1 TO 3 FEET
FURTHER EASTWARD ACROSS BAY...GULF AND WAKULLA COUNTIES. THE TAYLOR
COUNTY COAST SHOULD SEE SLIGHTLY LOWER STORM TIDES...OF 1 TO 2 FEET.
SOME BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS INCLUDING CAPE
SAN BLAS DUE TO BATTERING WAVES...WITH BREAKERS POSSIBLY REACHING 12
TO 15 FEET.

NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
OVER THE WESTERN PANHANDLE AND COULD ADD TO THE STORM TIDE LEVELS
SPECIFIC TIDE FORECASTS FOLLOWS.

ST MARKS...
SATURDAY: HIGH 6:20 AM...LOW 11:11 AM...HIGH 4:51 PM EDT

APALACHICOLA...
SATURDAY: HIGH 9:26 AM...LOW 1:30 PM...HIGH 6:07 PM EDT

PORT ST JOE...
SATURDAY: HIGH 1:12 PM
SUNDAY: LOW 12:13 AM  EDT

SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY...
SATURDAY: HIGH 12:39 PM...LOW 11:53 PM CDT.
SUNDAY: HIGH 1:10 PM CDT

...RIP CURRENTS...
ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CREATE A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS THROUGH TODAY.

...TORNADO THREAT...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBILE TODAY AS ARLENE APPROACHES THE
GULF COAST. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND PANHADLE...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 5 PM EDT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 830 AM EDT (730 AM CDT) THIS MORNING.

$$

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