[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 110031
HLSTAE

GMZ750-755-770-775-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-110400-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FROM GRANDE ISLE LOUISIANA TO
STEINHATCHEE FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY...GULF...
FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...AND TAYLOR COUNTIES.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND COASTAL COUNTIES EASTWARD TO STEINHATCHEE. A
FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT BECAUSE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...7 PM CDT...TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS CENTERED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 DEGREES NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 DEGREES WEST. THIS IS
ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ARLENE WAS MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ARLENE COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE
LANDFALL.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE CENTER OF ARLENE IS FORECAST
TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI COAST TO
PENSACOLA EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
INCLEMENT WEATHER...IN THE FORM OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG
WINDS...WILL OCCUR TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
ALONG THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH COULD REACH THE PANHANDLE COAST...FROM ST.
GEORGE ISLAND WESTWARD BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS
COULD BE HIGHER AND EXTEND FURTHER EASTWARD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS
OF THE BIG BEND SHOULD ARLENE STRENGTHEN AND MOVE SLIGHTLY FURTHER
EAST THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF ARLENE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TO
OVER THE WESTERN PANHANDLE OR SO...A LARGE SWATH OF HEAVY RAIN WILL
BE LIKELY TO THE EAST...ACROSS ALL OF THE PANHANDLE...MUCH OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH
ISOLATED 7 INCH TOTALS POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND AREA RIVERS AND  STREAMS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
IF THE STORM FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK...THE STORM SURGE WILL BE
ABOUT 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTH WALTON BEACHES...AND 2 TO 4 FEET
FURTHER EASTWARD ACROSS BAY...GULF AND WAKULLA COUNTIES. THE TAYLOR
COUNTY COAST SHOULD SEE SLIGHTLY LOWER STORM TIDES...OF 1 TO 2 FEET.
SOME BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS INCLUDING CAPE
SAN BLAS DUE TO HEAVY WAVE ACTION.  IF ARLENE INTENSIFIES AND MAKES
LANDFALL FARTHER EAST IN THE WATCH AREA...THEN THE STORM SURGE COULD
BE EVEN HIGHER...MAINLY FROM PANAMA CITY WESTWARD. CURRENTLY TIDES
ARE RUNNING A FOOT OR LESS ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST.

NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
OVER THE WESTERN PANHANDLE AND COULD ADD TO THE STORM TIDE LEVELS
SPECIFIC TIDE FORECASTS FOLLOWS...

ST MARKS...
TONIGHT: LOW 11:44 PM
SATURDAY: HIGH 6:20 AM...LOW 11:11 AM EDT

APALACHICOLA...
TONIGHT: 5:16 PM EDT
SATURDAY: LOW 1:46 AM EDT...HIGH 9:26 AM EDT...LOW 1:30 PM EDT

PORT ST JOE...
TONIGHT: LOW 11:53 PM
SATURDAY: HIGH 1:12 PM

SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY...
TODAY: HIGH 12:08 PM...LOW 11:33 PM.
SATURDAY: HIGH 12:39 PM...LOW 11:53 PM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CREATE A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS THROUGH SATURDAY.

...TORNADO THREAT...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE A POSSIBILITY BY EARLY MORNING SATURDAY
AS ARLENE APPROACHES THE GULF COAST.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE NEAR COMPLETION WITH THE APPROACH OF ARLENE
IMMINENT. STORE LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH CANS OR YARD FURNITURE.
POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR DUE TO STRONG WIND GUSTS. STOCK UP ON
BATTERIES...FLASHLIGHTS... WATER...AND NON-PERISHABLE FOOD. HAVE
CASH ON HAND...AS CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MACHINES MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT
POWER. BOATS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A SAFE LOCATION OR SECURED PROPERLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 1130 PM EDT (1030 PM CDT) THIS EVENING.

$$

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