[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 10 08:21:57 CDT 2005


WTUS82 KTAE 101321
HLSTAE

FLZ008-012-014-101630-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
817 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...TROPICAL STORM ARLENE EMERGING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...
...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY...AND GULF COUNTIES.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
COAST EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS IN GULF COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO
IN EFFECT BECAUSE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 AM CDT...TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTH OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGHEST SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THESE WINDS ARE
CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND THAT THE MAIN
IMPACT FROM THIS STORM WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE CENTER OF
ARLENE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM.
HOWEVER...MOST OF THE BAD WEATHER WILL OCCUR EAST OF THE CENTER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY IN A
FEW SQUALLS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE
WINDS AT THE COAST WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON
SATURDAY...UNLESS THE STORM MOVES FARTHER EAST THAN EXPECTED. THIS IS
STILL POSSIBLE...WHICH IS WHY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.
IF ARLENE MAKES LANDFALL FARTHER EAST OR INTENSIFIES MORE THAN
EXPECTED THEN WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH COULD AFFECT THE COAST.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF ARLENE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF
THE PANHANDLE...FLOODING IS STILL THE MAJOR CONCERN. WIDESPREAD STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE IN THE 3 TO 5 INCH RANGE...WITH SOME
HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
IF THE STORM FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK...THE STORM SURGE WILL BE
ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET. IF ARLENE MAKES LANDFALL FARTHER EAST IN THE WATCH
AREA...THEN THE STORM SURGE WILL BE NEAR 4 FEET...WHICH COULD CAUSE
BEACH EROSION AND SOME COASTAL FLOODING.

LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS...

PORT ST. JOE...
TONIGHT: LOW 11:53 PM
SATURDAY: HIGH 1:12 PM

SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY...
TODAY: HIGH 12:08 PM...LOW 11:33 PM.
SATURDAY: HIGH 12:39 PM...LOW 11:53 PM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT
RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND SATURDAY.

...TORNADO THREAT...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS
ARLENE APPROACHES THE GULF COAST.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN NOW BEFORE THE WEATHER DETERIORATES.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH CANS OR YARD FURNITURE. POWER OUTAGES
MAY OCCUR OVER AREAS AFFECTED BY TROPICAL STORM WINDS. STOCK UP ON
BATTERIES...FLASHLIGHTS...WATER...AND NON-PERISHABLE FOOD.   HAVE
CASH ON HAND...AS CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MACHINES MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT
POWER. BOATS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A SAFE LOCATION.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY 1130 AM CDT THIS MORNING.

$$

FOURNIER
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