[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 090837
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU JUN 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.2N  84.8W      41  X  X  X 41   ST MARKS FL        X  X  7  6 13
24.7N  85.8W       4 27  X  X 31   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1 11  4 16
27.2N  87.0W       X 14 11  1 26   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1 11  5 17
MWCG 193N 814W     2  X  X  X  2   PENSACOLA FL       X  X 12  7 19
MUSN 216N 826W    17  2  X  1 20   MOBILE AL          X  X 10  8 18
MUHA 230N 824W     3  7  1  X 11   GULFPORT MS        X  X 10  8 18
MUAN 219N 850W    43  X  X  X 43   BURAS LA           X  X 12  6 18
MMCZ 205N 869W     6  2  1  X  9   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  7  9 16
MARATHON FL        X  1  X  1  2   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  2 11 13
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  8  8
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  6  6
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  3  4   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  4  4
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  4  5   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 85W       X  2 12  3 17
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  3 16  2 21
KEY WEST FL        X  2  2  1  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  3 15  2 20
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  2  1  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  8  7 15
FT MYERS FL        X  1  2  2  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  8  9
VENICE FL          X  1  5  2  8   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  4  4
TAMPA FL           X  X  5  3  8   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  5  5 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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