[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 090228
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.0N  84.6W      41  1  X  X 42   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  6  7
23.5N  85.7W       4 28  X  X 32   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1  8  9
25.8N  86.8W       X 14 10  X 24   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  3  9 12
MWCG 193N 814W     5  1  X  X  6   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  3 10 13
MUSN 216N 826W    12  7  X  X 19   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  3 12 15
MUHA 230N 824W     1  8  2  X 11   MOBILE AL          X  X  3 12 15
MUAN 219N 850W    28  9  X  X 37   GULFPORT MS        X  X  3 12 15
MMCZ 205N 869W    16  4  X  X 20   BURAS LA           X  X  6 10 16
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  1  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  3 11 14
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  2  3   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1 11 12
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  5  5
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  5  8 13
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  X 10  7 17
KEY WEST FL        X  1  2  2  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X 12  6 18
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  4  9 13
FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  8  8
VENICE FL          X  X  2  5  7   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  4  4
TAMPA FL           X  X  1  6  7   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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