[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 292118
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS EXTRATROPICAL
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND UNDER WMO HEADER
FZNT01 KWBC...AND ALSO IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL
SERVICE OF CANADA.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...
SATELLITE IMAGES...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND SAN JUAN DOPPLER
RADAR DATA INDICATE THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG
TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS NOT
YET ORGANIZED ENOUGH TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TONIGHT OR SATURDAY OVER THE EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO RICO AND
SURROUNDING ISLANDS. ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW. SQUALLS PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE...
ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...COULD OCCUR OVER THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...
AND OVER PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA ON SATURDAY. INTERESTS NEAR
THIS AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE DECREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
AND THE FLORIDA STRAITS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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