[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 290849
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI JUL 29 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON AUG  1 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

44.2N  56.2W      20  3  X  X 23   PTX BASQUES NFLD   3  3  X  X  6
46.7N  50.7W       X 15  X  X 15   BURGEO NFLD        5  6  X  X 11
SABLE ISLAND NS   25  X  X  X 25   ILE ST PIERRE      9  8  X  X 17
SYDNEY NS          6  2  X  X  8   CAPE RACE NFLD     3 15  X  X 18
EDDY POINT NS      4  1  X  X  5   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X 10  X  X 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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