[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jul 28 21:31:27 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 290231
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU JUL 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN JUL 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

42.8N  59.3W      21  3  X  X 24   EDDY POINT NS      6  5  X  X 11
45.0N  54.5W       1 16  2  X 19   PTX BASQUES NFLD   1  7  2  X 10
47.3N  49.3W       X  3 10  X 13   BURGEO NFLD        1 10  2  X 13
HALIFAX NS         4  1  X  X  5   ILE ST PIERRE      2 13  2  X 17
SABLE ISLAND NS   18  3  X  X 21   CAPE RACE NFLD     X 12  5  X 17
SYDNEY NS          5  7  X  X 12   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  2 10  X 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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