[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 282039
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU JUL 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN JUL 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

41.3N  62.0W      19  2  X  X 21   SABLE ISLAND NS    5 12  1  X 18
43.2N  57.9W       2 14  2  X 18   SYDNEY NS          1  9  2  X 12
45.3N  53.0W       X  4 10  X 14   EDDY POINT NS      3  8  1  X 12
EASTPORT ME        1  1  X  X  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  6  4  X 10
ST JOHN NB         1  2  X  X  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  7  4  X 11
MONCTON NB         1  2  1  X  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  8  6  X 14
YARMOUTH NS        4  2  X  X  6   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  4  9  X 13
HALIFAX NS         6  5  X  X 11   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  6  X  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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