[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 27 09:41:33 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 271441
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED JUL 27 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT JUL 30 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

36.4N  67.8W      37  1  X  X 38   ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  6  7
38.4N  65.7W       1 18  3  X 22   MONCTON NB         X  X  1  6  7
40.4N  62.8W       X  1 12  3 16   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  5  5 10
BERMUDA            X  1  1  X  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  2  8 10
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  1  1  3   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  1 10 11
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  2  1  4   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  9  9
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  5  X  7   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  9  9
HYANNIS MA         X  1  4  1  6   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  7  7
BOSTON MA          X  X  3  1  4   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  7  7
PORTLAND ME        X  X  2  2  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  7  7
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  2  4  6   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  5  5
EASTPORT ME        X  X  2  5  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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